Case Keenum finished 11 of 19 for 108 yards, one interception and a 52.1 adjusted QBR. Tyson Bagent finished 12 of 21 for 87 yards, two interceptions and 27.4. Green Bay won 31-7 because it had one quarterback, and Chicago spent the afternoon proving it doesn't have one.
Jordan Love was that quarterback, and he was close to perfect: 25 of 31, 367 yards, two touchdowns, no interceptions, 137.5 adjusted QBR. The scoreboard says blowout and so does the line. Look one layer down and the Packers are thinner than 31-7 suggests. Their leading rusher was MarShawn Lloyd, who went 10 carries for 31 yards and two touchdowns. The scores were real. The yards weren't. Lloyd averaged 3.1 a carry with a long of 10, which means this offense ran through Love's right arm and a goal-line back, and it did so against a Bears front that sacked Love twice. Austin Booker got both of those, plus three tackles for loss.
Christian Watson was the passing game: six catches on eight targets, 143 yards, two touchdowns, a 53-yard long, 23.8 per catch. Chicago never solved him. Devin Bush made eight tackles and Dillon Thieneman seven, and neither number means much when the ball is sailing over your head.
Chicago's own offense should worry people more than the final score does. Keenum lost a fumble. So did Rome Odunze, who turned nine targets into three catches for 40 yards. D'Andre Swift was the only Bear who produced anything, and he touched the ball nine times on the ground for 43 yards and the team's only touchdown, plus four catches for 30 yards on five targets. Nine carries. In a game that was gone by the fourth quarter, Chicago's most efficient player got nine carries and Roschon Johnson got five for six yards. Luther Burden III had four catches for 47 yards on six targets and four carries for two yards. That's a lot of bodies and not much threat.
Zavion Thomas gave the Bears something: six kickoff returns for 192 yards, a long of 61, 32.0 a return, which is also a fair measure of how often the Packers were kicking off. The fourth quarter was formalities. Daniel Whelan's 46-yard punt was fair-caught by Thomas at the Chicago 7 with 3:18 left, and Keenum's deep incompletion to Jahdae Walker at 1:10 was the last snap that mattered. The game was decided long before either.
My read, and the part I'd put money behind: Watson is a weekly starter in any format and the safest Packers pass catcher going forward. Lloyd is not. Two touchdowns on 31 yards will put him in flex conversations all week, and he'll keep disappointing anyone who chases it, because this backfield isn't committed to feeding him. In Chicago, nobody in that passing game is startable until the quarterback room sorts itself out. Swift's nine carries are the number to watch. If it stays there, his fantasy value is a touchdown bet and nothing more. Both teams are 3-2. Only one of them has an answer at the position that decides games.
